Archived post from legacy Decis reporting

Good morning, and Happy Monday.

Last week’s tariffs were over before they started: by Monday evening, both Mexico and Canada had secured 30-day deferrals on President Trump’s threatened import taxes. However, the short-term disruption was real and this was a deferment — the threat to cross-border trade remains.

Meanwhile, Trump intends to announce a 25% tariff on all steel and aluminum imports today and is threatening reciprocal tariffs on any country that taxes US imports. [More Bloomberg] And in Europe, leaders are dusting off the anti-coercion instrument (ACI): a trade ‘bazooka’ they devised back in Trump’s first term as a way to hit back at any US levies on EU imports. [More - Politico]

Finally, instead of a measured opening salvo in a series of negotiations, experts describe Trump’s attempt to shock Beijing into a trade deal as having backfired and predict a full-blown trade war. [More - FT]

For speculators, this is a fantastic situation as prices whipsaw in response to each piece of news. But for most businesses — those who are always keen to remind us that they crave stability — this is a nightmare. For them, the only certainty at the moment is more uncertainty.

This makes it hard for businesses to plan but it’s not a stretch to say that planning for the worst-case scenarios — up to and including COVID levels of disruption — is a worthwhile exercise for leadership teams everywhere.

Jordan’s King Abdullah and India’s Prime Minister Modi are both due to visit the White House this week and there is a possible call between Trump and Ukraine’s President Zelenskyy. Each meeting may produce headlines, but looking past any fireworks will help identify how issues such as Gaza are likely to progress in the long term.

Picture this: Your risk assessments, FOREX analysis, or destination risk tracking are always up to date, right in the tools you already use.

The best part? It just takes a few clicks to set up your live country data feed. Choose your coverage areas, grab the pre-built code, and you're up and running.

The Decis API feeds country stability data right into your Google Sheet, Excel workbooks or software and you can set it up in under 3 minutes (here’s the proof).

Multiple pricing tiers allow you to pick the coverage that’s right for you, so whether you're tracking three countries or 130, there's an option that fits.

It’s time to make the data work for you, not the other way around.

WTI is $73.52 (Down)

Low |--------- < ----------| High

Wheat is $185.794 (Up)

Low |--------- > ----------| High

EuroDollar is $1.03 (Down)

Low |-- < -----------------| High

YuanDollar is $0.14 (Unchanged)

Low |---------- < > ---------| High

Graphs are illustrative to show comparative price over last 180 days

Metrics via AlphaVantage updated Feb 09 2025 21:16 UTC

Here are the complete global stability rankings for all countries and territories covered by Decis Intelligence.

🇦🇫 Afghanistan is Unstable

🇦🇱 Albania is Stable

🇩🇿 Algeria is Weak

🇦🇩 Andorra is Stable

🇦🇴 Angola is Weak

🇦🇬 Antigua and Barbuda is Stable

🇦🇷 Argentina is Weak

🇦🇲 Armenia is Weak

🇦🇺 Australia is Stable

🇦🇹 Austria is Weak

🇦🇿 Azerbaijan is Weak

🇧🇭 Bahrain is Weak

🇧🇩 Bangladesh is Weak

🇧🇧 Barbados is Stable

🇧🇾 Belarus is Unstable

🇧🇪 Belgium is Weak

🇧🇿 Belize is Weak

🇧🇯 Benin is Weak

🇧🇹 Bhutan is Weak

🇧🇴 Bolivia is Weak

🇧🇦 Bosnia and Herzegovina is Weak

🇧🇼 Botswana is Stable

🇧🇷 Brazil is Weak

🇧🇳 Brunei is Stable

🇧🇫 Burkina Faso is Unstable

🇧🇮 Burundi is Weak

🇰🇭 Cambodia is Weak

🇨🇲 Cameroon is Weak

🇨🇦 Canada is Stable

🇨🇻 Cape Verde is Stable

🇨🇫 Central African Republic is Unstable

🇹🇩 Chad is Unstable

🇨🇱 Chile is Stable

🇨🇳 China is Stable

🇨🇴 Colombia is Weak

🇰🇲 Comoros is Weak

🇨🇷 Costa Rica is Stable

🇭🇷 Croatia is Stable

🇨🇺 Cuba is Weak

🇨🇾 Cyprus is Stable

🇨🇿 Czech Republic is Stable

🇨🇩 Democratic Republic Of The Congo is Unstable

🇩🇰 Denmark is Stable

🇩🇯 Djibouti is Stable

🇩🇲 Dominica is Stable

🇩🇴 Dominican Republic is Weak

🇹🇱 East Timor is Weak

🇪🇨 Ecuador is Weak

🇪🇬 Egypt is Weak

🇸🇻 El Salvador is Weak

🇬🇶 Equatorial Guinea is Unstable

🇪🇷 Eritrea is Unstable

🇪🇪 Estonia is Stable

🇸🇿 Eswatini is Weak

🇪🇹 Ethiopia is Unstable

🇫🇲 Federated States of Micronesia is Stable

🇫🇯 Fiji is Stable

🇫🇮 Finland is Stable

🇫🇷 France is Weak

🇬🇦 Gabon is Unstable

🇬🇪 Georgia is Weak

🇩🇪 Germany is Weak

🇬🇭 Ghana is Stable

🇬🇷 Greece is Stable

🇬🇩 Grenada is Stable

🇬🇹 Guatemala is Weak

🇬🇳 Guinea is Unstable

🇬🇼 Guinea-Bissau is Unstable

🇬🇾 Guyana is Stable

🇭🇹 Haiti is Unstable

🇭🇳 Honduras is Unstable

🇭🇺 Hungary is Weak

🇮🇸 Iceland is Stable

🇮🇳 India is Weak

🇮🇩 Indonesia is Weak

🇮🇷 Iran is Weak

🇮🇶 Iraq is Weak

🇮🇪 Ireland is Stable

🇮🇱 Israel is Weak

🇮🇹 Italy is Stable

🇨🇮 Ivory Coast is Weak

🇯🇲 Jamaica is Weak

🇯🇵 Japan is Stable

🇯🇴 Jordan is Stable

🇰🇿 Kazakhstan is Stable

🇰🇪 Kenya is Weak

🇰🇮 Kiribati is Weak

🇰🇼 Kuwait is Stable

🇰🇬 Kyrgyzstan is Weak

🇱🇦 Laos is Weak

🇱🇻 Latvia is Stable

🇱🇧 Lebanon is Weak

🇱🇸 Lesotho is Weak

🇱🇷 Liberia is Weak

🇱🇾 Libya is Unstable

🇱🇮 Liechtenstein is Stable

🇱🇹 Lithuania is Stable

🇱🇺 Luxembourg is Stable

🇲🇰 Macedonia is Weak

🇲🇬 Madagascar is Weak

🇲🇼 Malawi is Weak

🇲🇾 Malaysia is Stable

🇲🇻 Maldives is Weak

🇲🇱 Mali is Weak

🇲🇹 Malta is Stable

🇲🇭 Marshall Islands is Weak

🇲🇷 Mauritania is Weak

🇲🇺 Mauritius is Stable

🇲🇽 Mexico is Weak

🇲🇩 Moldova is Weak

🇲🇨 Monaco is Stable

🇲🇳 Mongolia is Stable

🇲🇪 Montenegro is Weak

🇲🇦 Morocco is Stable

🇲🇿 Mozambique is Weak

🇲🇲 Myanmar is Unstable

🇳🇦 Namibia is Stable

🇳🇷 Nauru is Weak

🇳🇵 Nepal is Weak

🇳🇱 Netherlands is Stable

🇳🇿 New Zealand is Stable

🇳🇮 Nicaragua is Unstable

🇳🇪 Niger is Unstable

🇳🇬 Nigeria is Unstable

🇰🇵 North Korea is Critically Unstable

🇳🇴 Norway is Stable

🇴🇲 Oman is Weak

🇵🇰 Pakistan is Weak

🇵🇼 Palau is Stable

🇵🇦 Panama is Stable

🇵🇬 Papua New Guinea is Weak

🇵🇾 Paraguay is Weak

🇵🇪 Peru is Weak

🇵🇭 Philippines is Weak

🇵🇱 Poland is Stable

🇵🇹 Portugal is Stable

🇶🇦 Qatar is Stable

🇨🇬 Republic of the Congo is Unstable

🇷🇴 Romania is Weak

🇷🇺 Russia is Weak

🇷🇼 Rwanda is Weak

🇰🇳 Saint Kitts and Nevis is Stable

🇱🇨 Saint Lucia is Weak

🇻🇨 Saint Vincent and the Grenadines is Stable

🇼🇸 Samoa is Weak

🇸🇲 San Marino is Stable

🇸🇹 São Tomé and Príncipe is Stable

🇸🇦 Saudi Arabia is Weak

🇸🇳 Senegal is Stable

🇷🇸 Serbia is Weak

🇸🇱 Sierra Leone is Weak

🇸🇬 Singapore is Stable

🇸🇰 Slovakia is Weak

🇸🇮 Slovenia is Stable

🇸🇧 Solomon Islands is Weak

🇸🇴 Somalia is Weak

🇿🇦 South Africa is Weak

🇰🇷 South Korea is Weak

🇸🇸 South Sudan is Critically Unstable

🇪🇸 Spain is Stable

🇱🇰 Sri Lanka is Weak

🇸🇩 Sudan is Critically Unstable

🇸🇷 Suriname is Weak

🇸🇪 Sweden is Stable

🇨🇭 Switzerland is Stable

🇸🇾 Syria is Critically Unstable

🇹🇼 Taiwan is Stable

🇹🇯 Tajikistan is Weak

🇹🇿 Tanzania is Stable

🇹🇭 Thailand is Stable

🇧🇸 The Bahamas is Stable

🇬🇲 The Gambia is Weak

🇹🇬 Togo is Weak

🇹🇴 Tonga is Stable

🇹🇹 Trinidad and Tobago is Weak

🇹🇳 Tunisia is Weak

🇹🇷 Turkey is Weak

🇹🇲 Turkmenistan is Weak

🇹🇻 Tuvalu is Stable

🇺🇬 Uganda is Weak

🇺🇦 Ukraine is Unstable

🇦🇪 United Arab Emirates is Stable

🇬🇧 United Kingdom is Stable

🇺🇸 United States Of America is Stable

🇺🇾 Uruguay is Stable

🇺🇿 Uzbekistan is Stable

🇻🇺 Vanuatu is Weak

🇻🇪 Venezuela is Unstable

🇻🇳 Vietnam is Stable

🇪🇭 Western Sahara is Weak

🇾🇪 Yemen is Critically Unstable

🇿🇲 Zambia is Weak

🇿🇼 Zimbabwe is Weak

Carpe tomorrow!