Archived post from legacy Decis reporting

Good morning, and Happy Monday.

Allow me an observation on the cusp of the second Trump Presidency

It’s Inauguration Day and DC is full of two kinds of Trump supporters. Billionaires spent the weekend celebrating at black-tie events, anticipating a freer, free market, looser regulation, and a more mercantile approach to everything from lawmaking to foreign policy. Meanwhile, Trump voters who couldn’t stump up millions of dollars in support are tramping around a wet, snowy DC, unable to attend the (now indoors) inauguration.

Just to emphasize the gulf between the two kinds of supporters, the Trump family, their advisors and prominent supporters spent the weekend pumping — and in many cases apparently dumping — the $Trump and $Melania memecoins*. No prizes for guessing which group will be left holding the bag when the coins are worth nothing. As Marie Antoinette put it, “Qu'ils mangent de la crypto.” (*And exactly the kind of thing the crypto community doesn’t want to see happen. Wah wuh.)

But here’s the thing: this illustrates four rules for working with Washington for the next four years.

This approach is similar to the first Trump presidency and you can point to his success on things like NATO spending. But while NATO was strengthened as allies started spending more, the alliance was also weakened because of the ‘will he won’t he’ dance around Trump’s support for Article Five.

But, like them or not, these are the rules for Trump 2.0.

Things kick off just after lunch when President Trump will reenter the Oval Office and start signing executive orders’. [More - BBC]

Back to your normal programming: here are the numbers.

WTI is $79.57 (Down)

Low |-------------- < -----| High

Wheat is $185.735 (Down)

Low |------ < -------------| High

EuroDollar is $1.03 (Down)

Low |-- < -----------------| High

YuanDollar is $0.14 (Unchanged)

Low |---------- < > ---------| High

Graphs are illustrative to show comparative price over last 180 days

Metrics via AlphaVantage updated Jan 19 2025 21:16 UTC

Here are the complete global stability rankings for all countries and territories covered by Decis Intelligence.

🇦🇫 Afghanistan is Unstable

🇦🇱 Albania is Weak

🇩🇿 Algeria is Weak

🇦🇩 Andorra is Stable

🇦🇴 Angola is Weak

🇦🇬 Antigua and Barbuda is Stable

🇦🇷 Argentina is Weak

🇦🇲 Armenia is Weak

🇦🇺 Australia is Stable

🇦🇹 Austria is Weak

🇦🇿 Azerbaijan is Weak

🇧🇭 Bahrain is Weak

🇧🇩 Bangladesh is Weak

🇧🇧 Barbados is Stable

🇧🇾 Belarus is Unstable

🇧🇪 Belgium is Weak

🇧🇿 Belize is Weak

🇧🇯 Benin is Weak

🇧🇹 Bhutan is Weak

🇧🇴 Bolivia is Weak

🇧🇦 Bosnia And Herzegovina is Weak

🇧🇼 Botswana is Stable

🇧🇷 Brazil is Weak

🇧🇳 Brunei is Stable

🇧🇫 Burkina Faso is Unstable

🇧🇮 Burundi is Weak

🇰🇭 Cambodia is Weak

🇨🇲 Cameroon is Weak

🇨🇦 Canada is Weak

🇨🇻 Cape Verde is Stable

🇨🇫 Central African Republic is Unstable

🇹🇩 Chad is Unstable

🇨🇱 Chile is Stable

🇨🇳 China is Stable

🇨🇴 Colombia is Weak

🇰🇲 Comoros is Weak

🇨🇷 Costa Rica is Stable

🇭🇷 Croatia is Stable

🇨🇺 Cuba is Weak

🇨🇾 Cyprus is Stable

🇨🇿 Czech Republic is Stable

🇨🇩 Democratic Republic Of The Congo is Unstable

🇩🇰 Denmark is Stable

🇩🇯 Djibouti is Stable

🇩🇲 Dominica is Weak

🇩🇴 Dominican Republic is Stable

🇹🇱 East Timor is Weak

🇪🇨 Ecuador is Weak

🇪🇬 Egypt is Weak

🇸🇻 El Salvador is Weak

🇬🇶 Equatorial Guinea is Unstable

🇪🇷 Eritrea is Unstable

🇪🇪 Estonia is Stable

🇸🇿 Eswatini is Weak

🇪🇹 Ethiopia is Weak

🇫🇲 Federated States of Micronesia is Weak

🇫🇯 Fiji is Weak

🇫🇮 Finland is Stable

🇫🇷 France is Weak

🇬🇦 Gabon is Unstable

🇬🇪 Georgia is Weak

🇩🇪 Germany is Weak

🇬🇭 Ghana is Weak

🇬🇷 Greece is Stable

🇬🇩 Grenada is Stable

🇬🇹 Guatemala is Weak

🇬🇳 Guinea is Unstable

🇬🇼 Guinea-Bissau is Unstable

🇬🇾 Guyana is Weak

🇭🇹 Haiti is Critically Unstable

🇭🇳 Honduras is Unstable

🇭🇺 Hungary is Weak

🇮🇸 Iceland is Stable

🇮🇳 India is Stable

🇮🇩 Indonesia is Weak

🇮🇷 Iran is Weak

🇮🇶 Iraq is Weak

🇮🇪 Ireland is Weak

🇮🇱 Israel is Weak

🇮🇹 Italy is Weak

🇨🇮 Ivory Coast is Weak

🇯🇲 Jamaica is Weak

🇯🇵 Japan is Stable

🇯🇴 Jordan is Weak

🇰🇿 Kazakhstan is Weak

🇰🇪 Kenya is Weak

🇰🇮 Kiribati is Weak

🇰🇼 Kuwait is Stable

🇰🇬 Kyrgyzstan is Weak

🇱🇦 Laos is Weak

🇱🇻 Latvia is Stable

🇱🇧 Lebanon is Unstable

🇱🇸 Lesotho is Weak

🇱🇷 Liberia is Weak

🇱🇾 Libya is Unstable

🇱🇮 Liechtenstein is Stable

🇱🇹 Lithuania is Stable

🇱🇺 Luxembourg is Stable

🇲🇰 Macedonia is Weak

🇲🇬 Madagascar is Weak

🇲🇼 Malawi is Weak

🇲🇾 Malaysia is Stable

🇲🇻 Maldives is Weak

🇲🇱 Mali is Unstable

🇲🇹 Malta is Stable

🇲🇭 Marshall Islands is Weak

🇲🇷 Mauritania is Weak

🇲🇺 Mauritius is Stable

🇲🇽 Mexico is Weak

🇲🇩 Moldova is Weak

🇲🇨 Monaco is Stable

🇲🇳 Mongolia is Stable

🇲🇪 Montenegro is Weak

🇲🇦 Morocco is Stable

🇲🇿 Mozambique is Unstable

🇲🇲 Myanmar is Unstable

🇳🇦 Namibia is Stable

🇳🇷 Nauru is Weak

🇳🇵 Nepal is Weak

🇳🇱 Netherlands is Stable

🇳🇿 New Zealand is Stable

🇳🇮 Nicaragua is Unstable

🇳🇪 Niger is Unstable

🇳🇬 Nigeria is Unstable

🇰🇵 North Korea is Critically Unstable

🇳🇴 Norway is Stable

🇴🇲 Oman is Weak

🇵🇰 Pakistan is Weak

🇵🇼 Palau is Stable

🇵🇦 Panama is Stable

🇵🇬 Papua New Guinea is Weak

🇵🇾 Paraguay is Weak

🇵🇪 Peru is Weak

🇵🇭 Philippines is Weak

🇵🇱 Poland is Weak

🇵🇹 Portugal is Stable

🇶🇦 Qatar is Stable

🇨🇬 Republic of the Congo is Weak

🇷🇴 Romania is Weak

🇷🇺 Russia is Unstable

🇷🇼 Rwanda is Weak

🇰🇳 Saint Kitts and Nevis is Stable

🇱🇨 Saint Lucia is Weak

🇻🇨 Saint Vincent and the Grenadines is Stable

🇼🇸 Samoa is Weak

🇸🇲 San Marino is Stable

🇸🇹 São Tomé and Príncipe is Stable

🇸🇦 Saudi Arabia is Stable

🇸🇳 Senegal is Stable

🇷🇸 Serbia is Weak

🇸🇱 Sierra Leone is Weak

🇸🇬 Singapore is Stable

🇸🇰 Slovakia is Stable

🇸🇮 Slovenia is Stable

🇸🇧 Solomon Islands is Weak

🇸🇴 Somalia is Weak

🇿🇦 South Africa is Weak

🇰🇷 South Korea is Weak

🇸🇸 South Sudan is Critically Unstable

🇪🇸 Spain is Weak

🇱🇰 Sri Lanka is Weak

🇸🇩 Sudan is Critically Unstable

🇸🇷 Suriname is Weak

🇸🇪 Sweden is Stable

🇨🇭 Switzerland is Stable

🇸🇾 Syria is Unstable

🇹🇼 Taiwan is Stable

🇹🇯 Tajikistan is Weak

🇹🇿 Tanzania is Stable

🇹🇭 Thailand is Weak

🇧🇸 The Bahamas is Stable

🇬🇲 The Gambia is Stable

🇹🇬 Togo is Weak

🇹🇴 Tonga is Stable

🇹🇹 Trinidad and Tobago is Unstable

🇹🇳 Tunisia is Weak

🇹🇷 Turkey is Weak

🇹🇲 Turkmenistan is Weak

🇹🇻 Tuvalu is Stable

🇺🇬 Uganda is Weak

🇺🇦 Ukraine is Unstable

🇦🇪 United Arab Emirates is Stable

🇬🇧 United Kingdom is Stable

🇺🇸 United States Of America is Stable

🇺🇾 Uruguay is Stable

🇺🇿 Uzbekistan is Stable

🇻🇺 Vanuatu is Weak

🇻🇪 Venezuela is Unstable

🇻🇳 Vietnam is Stable

🇪🇭 Western Sahara is Weak

🇾🇪 Yemen is Critically Unstable

🇿🇲 Zambia is Weak

🇿🇼 Zimbabwe is Weak

Carpe tomorrow!