GM, here’s the latest from Decis Intelligence.
Critical alerts
Tripwire notifications from the last 24 hours
🇺🇸🇺🇦 US and Ukrainian officials to meet in Miami for peace talks · 23:33 UTC — Trump Envoys and Ukrainian Officials to Meet in Miami for Ukraine Peace Talks · Sources: france24.com
🇺🇦🇺🇸 Ukraine and US envoys to hold peace talks in Washington · 20:03 UTC — Ukraine and US Envoys to Hold Peace Talks in Washington This Weekend
Big movers
Countries moving beyond their normal range — last 3 days vs their 28-day baseline
No country is moving beyond its normal variability.
Headline events
Noteworthy events from the last 24 hours — may not be reflected in the ratings yet
🇦🇫 Afghanistan — Taliban firmly in control in Afghanistan 25 years after US-led invasion to oust them [Democratic Integrity] · koat.com · also: triblive.com, newsday.com
🇺🇦 Ukraine — Russian bus stop bombing kills at least 33 in Ukraine [Law and Order] · apnews.com · also: indiatoday.in, volkskrant.nl
🇦🇪 United Arab Emirates — Omani flydubai pilot initially planned to hijack plane to Israel in July [Law and Order] · jpost.com · also: fvdigital.do, yna.co.kr
🇾🇪 Yemen — Houthi Attacks on Saudi Airports Kill 3 Amid Escalating War in Yemen [Law and Order] · apnews.com · also: economictimes.indiatimes.com, news.de
🇾🇪 Yemen — Saudi Arabia says 3 killed in airport attacks claimed by Houthis, vows strikes ‘will not go unpunished’ [Law and Order] · livemint.com · also: breitbart.com, volkskrant.nl
🇦🇫 Afghanistan — Kabul Faces Water Crisis as Groundwater Could Run Dry by 2030 [Environmental Hazards] · ru.euronews.com · also: ntv.com.tr, onedio.com
🇹🇼 Taiwan — Invade Taiwan? China is already claiming territory underwater. - The Washington Post [International Relations] · washingtonpost.com · also: udn.com, ici.radio-canada.ca
🇫🇷 France — France has been ‘brought to its knees by thugs’ — and it’s time to talk about why [Law and Order] · theblaze.com · also: bfmtv.com, dirilispostasi.com
Commodities
Watchlist prices vs their 28-day baseline — same ruler as the country movers
🍬 Sugar price (exports · SB=F daily settlement) ▲ 20.15 +13.6% · +2.9σ
Concentrated producers: Brazil (BRA) 44% (major)
⛏️ Primary aluminum price (smelting · ALI=F daily settlement) ▼ 3190.75 -5.9% · -2.2σ
Concentrated producers: China (CHN) 59% (major)
⛏️ Palladium price ▼ 1161.5 -10.1% · -2.2σ
Concentrated producers: Russia (RUS) 44% (major), South Africa (ZAF) 37% (noteworthy)
⛏️ Platinum price ▼ 1686.2 -5.4% · -2.2σ
Concentrated producers: South Africa (ZAF) 71% (major)
Carpe tomorrow
Andrew
