GM, here’s the latest from Decis Intelligence.

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Critical alerts

Tripwire notifications from the last 24 hours

🇾🇪🇮🇳 Airstrikes hit Yemen's capital; tanker drone attack leaves two sailors missing · 07:48 UTC — Airstrikes Hit Yemen's Capital; Two Indian Sailors Missing After Drone Attack on Tanker · Sources: apnews.com

🇷🇺🇺🇦🇺🇸 Russia strikes Kyiv and Kharkiv, violating energy ceasefire · 07:33 UTC — Ukraine accuses Russia of violating Trump's 'energy ceasefire' with strikes on Kyiv and Kharkiv · Sources: theguardian.com

🇶🇦🇺🇸🇺🇦🇷🇺 Doha airport attack kills 12 · 06:48 UTC — Trump Claims Ukraine-Russia Energy Ceasefire; Zelenskyy Disputes; Doha Airport Attack Kills 12 · Sources: euronews.com

🇾🇪🇸🇦🇵🇰🇺🇸 Houthi strike on Riyadh airport kills Pakistani resident · 03:48 UTC — Houthi Strike on Riyadh Airport Kills Pakistani Resident; US Naval Blockade Intensifies · Sources: gulfnews.com

🇮🇳 India condemns Strait of Hormuz attacks; two seafarers missing · 02:48 UTC — India Condemns Strait of Hormuz Attacks After Two Seafarers Missing · Sources: hindustantimes.com

🇺🇸🇮🇷 US blockade of Iran destroys 10 tankers, turns back 135 ships · 02:48 UTC — US Naval Blockade of Iran Intensifies: 135 Ships Turned Around, 10 Tankers Destroyed · Sources: gulfnews.com

🇮🇷🇾🇪🇸🇦🇺🇸 Iran reportedly offers to mediate between Houthis and Saudi Arabia · 02:33 UTC — Oil falls after Trump declares 'energy ceasefire' between Russia and Ukraine · Sources: cnbc.com

🇵🇰 Pakistan suspends PTI-led provincial government amid coup allegations · 01:03 UTC — Pakistan Suspends PTI-Led Provincial Government Amidst 'Coup' Allegations · Sources: theguardian.com

🇺🇦🇷🇺 Carney backs energy ceasefire between Ukraine and Russia · 21:18 UTC — Carney Supports 'Energy Ceasefire' Between Ukraine and Russia · Source: doc.afp.com

🇮🇷🇺🇸 Iran rejects US offer to reopen Strait of Hormuz · 19:48 UTC — Iran Rejects US Response as 'Insufficient' to Reopen Strait of Hormuz · Sources: jpost.com

🇵🇱 Poland arrests suspect in alleged plot against PM Tusk · 19:18 UTC — Poland Arrests Suspect in Alleged Assassination Plot Against PM Tusk and Defence Minister · Source: doc.afp.com

🇷🇺🇺🇦🇺🇸 Russia strikes Ukraine power plant after ceasefire announcement · 18:18 UTC — Zelensky: Russia Hit Power Plant After Trump's Ceasefire Announcement · Source: doc.afp.com

🇺🇸🇺🇦 Trump declares unilateral Ukraine energy ceasefire; Zelenskyy rejects it · 16:48 UTC — Trump Announces Unilateral Energy Ceasefire in Ukraine War as Zelenskyy Rejects Deal · Sources: theguardian.com

🇸🇦🇮🇱 Terror attack on Riyadh airport, Netanyahu condemns · 16:03 UTC — Netanyahu Condemns Terror Attack on Riyadh Airport · Source: doc.afp.com

🇸🇩🇪🇬 Airstrikes on Sudan-Egypt border gold mine kill dozens · 15:18 UTC — Airstrikes on Sudan-Egypt Border Gold Mine Kill Dozens, Force Hundreds to Flee · Source: doc.afp.com

🇷🇺🇺🇦🇺🇸 Russia and Ukraine agree energy ceasefire, Trump says · 14:48 UTC — Trump Claims Russia and Ukraine Agree to Energy Ceasefire · Source: doc.afp.com

Tanker struck by projectile in Strait of Hormuz · 14:33 UTC — Tanker Struck by Unidentified Projectile in Strait of Hormuz · Sources: gulfnews.com

🇱🇧 Lebanese Army seizes 500kg of Hezbollah-linked explosives · 14:18 UTC — Lebanese Army Seizes 500kg of Hezbollah-Linked Explosives Amid Assassination Fears · Sources: jpost.com

🇺🇦🇺🇸 Zelensky links Ukraine elections to 60-day ceasefire · 14:03 UTC — Zelensky Links Ukraine Elections to 60-Day Ceasefire Following Trump's Call for New Leader · Source: doc.afp.com

🇵🇱 Poland suspects assassination attempts on PM Tusk and defence minister · 10:18 UTC — Poland Police Suspect Assassination Attempts on PM Tusk and Defence Minister Kosiniak-Kamysz · Source: doc.afp.com

Big movers

Countries moving beyond their normal range — last 3 days vs their 28-day baseline

No country is moving beyond its normal variability.

Headline events

Noteworthy events from the last 24 hours — may not be reflected in the ratings yet

🇩🇪 Germany — When culture wars killed democracy [Democratic Integrity] · business-standard.com · also: cadenaser.com, clarin.com

🇷🇺 Russia — Ukraine steps up strikes on Russia's tech infrastructure [International Relations] · abcnews.com · also: rutlandherald.com, ibc24.in

Carpe tomorrow

Andrew

Andrew

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