GM, here’s the latest from Decis Intelligence.
Free email without sacrificing your privacy
Gmail tracks you. Proton doesn’t. Get private email that puts your data — and your privacy — first.
Critical alerts
Tripwire notifications from the last 24 hours
🇷🇺🇺🇦 Russian strikes kill 6, cut power for 600,000 in Ukraine · 07:03 UTC — Russian Strikes on Ukraine Kill 6, Cut Power for 600,000 Despite Ceasefire Announcement · Sources: france24.com
🌾 Wheat price down 5.2% vs its 28-day baseline (-2.0 sigma) · 06:45 UTC — Tracked metric: the price of Wheat (exports) — ZW=F daily settlement. The figures are prices, not volumes.
🇮🇷🇸🇦🇾🇪 Oil rises as CENTCOM rejects Iran's Strait of Hormuz claims · 02:48 UTC — Oil Rises as Saudi-Houthi Tensions Escalate and CENTCOM Rejects Iranian Strait of Hormuz Claims · Sources: cnbc.com
🇮🇱 Israeli attacks kill one in Gaza, wound West Bank journalists · 01:33 UTC — Israeli Attacks Kill One in Gaza, Wound Journalists in West Bank on Ceasefire Anniversary · Sources: aljazeera.com
🇸🇦🇾🇪 Saudi-Houthi conflict: fires, airstrikes, flight cancellations · 23:48 UTC — Escalating Saudi-Houthi Conflict Sparks Fires, Airstrikes, and Flight Cancellations · Sources: apnews.com
🇮🇷🇺🇸 Iran threatens to invade neighbors amid US attack fears · 22:18 UTC — Iran Threatens Invasion of Neighbors Amid US Attack Fears · Sources: nypost.com
Container ship and tanker struck in Strait of Hormuz · 20:48 UTC — Container Ship and Tanker Struck by Projectiles in Strait of Hormuz · Sources: gulfnews.com
🇮🇷🇸🇦🇾🇪🇮🇱 Iran hits Hormuz shipping; Saudi strikes Sanaa; Israel raids Ramallah · 20:18 UTC — Escalating Middle East Tensions: Iran Targets Hormuz Shipping, Saudi Airstrikes Hit Sanaa, Israel Raids Ramallah · Sources: hindustantimes.com
🇷🇺🇺🇦🇺🇸 Russia halts strikes on Ukraine energy targets under ceasefire · 14:48 UTC — Russia Spares Ukrainian Energy Targets Following Trump's Ceasefire Announcement · Sources: france24.com
🇮🇱 Israel arrests teen over alleged ISIS-linked Jerusalem attack plot · 13:48 UTC — Israeli Police Arrest 18-Year-Old for Plotting ISIS-Linked Terror Attack in Jerusalem · Sources: jpost.com
🇷🇼 African Union holds DRC peace talks in Kigali · 13:48 UTC — African Union Delegation Holds Peace Talks in Kigali Amidst Ongoing Conflict in Eastern DRC · Sources: aljazeera.com
🇷🇺🇺🇸 Russia drones strike Bulgarian ships, ignoring Trump ceasefire call · 12:48 UTC — Zelenskyy: Russia Ignored Trump Ceasefire Call as Drones Strike Bulgarian Ships · Sources: theguardian.com
🇷🇺🇺🇦 Russia strikes Kyiv with missiles despite energy ceasefire claims · 12:18 UTC — Zelenskyy Reports No Warning on Kyiv Missile Strike Amidst Claims of Energy Ceasefire · Sources: apnews.com
Big movers
Countries moving beyond their normal range — last 3 days vs their 28-day baseline
No country is moving beyond its normal variability.
Headline events
Noteworthy events from the last 24 hours — may not be reflected in the ratings yet
🇫🇷 France — Two Teachers Shot In France; Far-Left Network Is Funding The Chaos [Law and Order] · zerohedge.com · also: metro.co.uk, vanguardia.com
🇫🇷 France — Wayne Root Showcases the Evil and Satanic Mental-Illness and Violence Coming From the Far-Left – From the Rioting, Burning and Violent Attacks on Police in France, to the Evil Inside the USA (VIDEO) * [Law and Order] · thegatewaypundit.com · also: egypt-today.com, zerohedge.com
🇾🇪 Yemen — Saudi Arabia strikes Yemen capital as Houthis vow to retaliate [International Relations] · fr.timesofisrael.com · also: abc.net.au, fnnews.com
🇾🇪 Yemen — Saudi coalition says it targeted oil firm in Sanaa, other facilities in Yemen [International Relations] · middleeasteye.net · also: dostor.org, ndtv.com
🇾🇪 Yemen — ‘Like Mad Max’: Yemen desert battle footage emerges as Saudi-led airstrikes resume | Watch [International Relations] · ynetnews.com · also: firstpost.com, yna.co.kr
🇾🇪 Yemen — Saudi coalition strikes fuel depot near Yemen's capital [International Relations] · bbc.co.uk · also: banxnetwork.com, cadena3.com
🇳🇬 Nigeria — Christian Humanitarian Worker Slain in Northwest Nigeria [Law and Order] · morningstarnews.org · also: christiandaily.com, gospelmais.com
🇻🇪 Venezuela — Venezuela Inflation to Hit 467% This Year, IMF Says [Economic Resilience] · riotimesonline.com
Commodities
Watchlist prices vs their 28-day baseline — same ruler as the country movers
🌾 Maize price (exports · ZC=F daily settlement) ▼ 481.5 -7.5% · -2.6σ
🌾 Rice price (exports · ZR=F daily settlement) ▲ 17.21 +5.1% · +2.1σ
Concentrated producers: India (IND) 35% (noteworthy)
🌾 Wheat price (exports · ZW=F daily settlement) ▼ 665.0 -5.2% · -2.0σ
Carpe tomorrow
Andrew
