GM, here’s the latest from Decis Intelligence.
Critical alerts
Tripwire notifications from the last 24 hours
⛏️ Platinum price down 5.3% vs its 28-day baseline (-2.1 sigma) · 06:45 UTC — Tracked metric: the price of Platinum — PL=F daily settlement. Concentrated producers: South Africa (ZAF) 71% (major).
🇫🇷 France school protests met with police crackdown · 05:18 UTC — France's School Protests and Police Crackdown Cloud Macron's Final Months · Sources: apnews.com
🇯🇵 Japan declares state of emergency over global cyber threats · 19:33 UTC — Global Cyber Threats Prompt Japan State of Emergency and Insurance Advice · Sources: livemint.com
🇮🇷 Oil flow through Strait of Hormuz hits 12M barrels daily despite attacks · 18:48 UTC — Oil Flow Through Strait of Hormuz Hits 12M Barrels Daily Despite Iranian Attacks · Sources: nypost.com
Housing protesters injured in Porto police crackdown · 18:33 UTC — Housing Protesters Injured in Porto Police Crackdown · Sources: euronews.com
Oil tanker fire and container ship sinking in Strait of Hormuz · 14:33 UTC — Oil Tanker Fire and Container Ship Sinking Escalate Tensions in Strait of Hormuz · Sources: independent.co.uk
🇱🇧🇮🇱 Hezbollah admits seized explosives meant for Israeli targets · 11:18 UTC — Hezbollah Admits Seized Explosives Were for Israeli Targets, Denies Assassination Plot · Sources: apnews.com
🇷🇺🇺🇸🇺🇦 Russia launches record drone swarm as energy ceasefire collapses · 11:03 UTC — US Energy Ceasefire Effort Collapses as Russia Launches Record Drone Swarm and Ukraine Resumes Refinery Strikes · Sources: theguardian.com
Big movers
Countries moving beyond their normal range — last 3 days vs their 28-day baseline
No country is moving beyond its normal variability.
Headline events
Noteworthy events from the last 24 hours — may not be reflected in the ratings yet
🇷🇺 Russia — Trump’s Deal With Russia Inflames Ukraine War He Vowed to End [International Relations] · dw.com · also: bt.dk, theguardian.com
🇲🇽 Mexico — Climate change and El Niño pushed explosive hurricane ‘Polo’ to the highest category [Environmental Hazards] · english.elpais.com · also: aol.com, economictimes.indiatimes.com
🇺🇦 Ukraine — Russia targets Ukraine with 'massive' aerial attack, including hundreds of drones, Zelenskyy says [International Relations] · abcnews.com · also: tsn.ua, rbc.ua
🇺🇦 Ukraine — Ukraine resumes attacks on Russian oil refineries, officials say, after brief truce [International Relations] · apnews.com · also: wsls.com, newstodaynet.com
🇺🇦 Ukraine — ‘We’re done’: Ukraine resumes strikes on Russian oil refineries as anger mounts with Trump [International Relations] · nbcnews.com · also: yahoo.com, aol.com
🇸🇦 Saudi Arabia — Houthis deny targeting holy city of Medina after Saudi Arabia says it intercepted missile [International Relations] · france24.com · also: khan.co.kr, fr.timesofisrael.com
🇸🇦 Saudi Arabia — Houthis say no attacks against Saudi Arabia conducted today, after coalition forces report missile downed [International Relations] · middleeasteye.net · also: aa.com.tr, aninews.in
🇷🇺 Russia — Russia targets Ukraine with 'massive' aerial attack, including hundreds of drones, Zelenskyy says [International Relations] · abcnews.com
Commodities
Watchlist prices vs their 28-day baseline — same ruler as the country movers
🌾 Rice price (exports · ZR=F daily settlement) ▲ 17.25 +5.6% · +2.4σ
Concentrated producers: India (IND) 35% (noteworthy)
🌾 Maize price (exports · ZC=F daily settlement) ▼ 478.0 -7.3% · -2.2σ
⛏️ Primary aluminum price (smelting · ALI=F daily settlement) ▼ 3109.25 -7.1% · -2.1σ
Concentrated producers: China (CHN) 59% (major)
⛏️ Platinum price ▼ 1642.0 -5.3% · -2.1σ
Concentrated producers: South Africa (ZAF) 71% (major)
Carpe tomorrow
Andrew
