GM, here’s the latest from Decis Intelligence.

Critical alerts

Tripwire notifications from the last 24 hours

🌾 Soybeans price down 2.6% vs its 28-day baseline (-2.1 sigma) · 06:45 UTC — Tracked metric: the price of Soybeans (exports) — ZS=F daily settlement. The figures are prices, not volumes. Concentrated producers: Brazil (BRA) 58% (major), United States (USA) 28% (noteworthy).

Fatal fire at Alberta military base disrupts secession referendum · 04:33 UTC — Fatal Incident and Major Fire at Alberta Military Base Disrupts Independence Referendum Voting · Sources: apnews.com

🇾🇪 Diplomats attacked in West Bank; Yemen airstrikes kill children · 15:18 UTC — Diplomats Attacked in West Bank, Yemen Airstrikes Kill Children, and Escalating Regional Violence · Sources: apnews.com

🇮🇷 Two oil tankers hit mines in Strait of Hormuz · 15:03 UTC — IRGC Claims Two Oil Tankers Hit Mines in Strait of Hormuz · Sources: jpost.com

🇫🇷 Mass protests and clashes rock France over cost-of-living · 14:18 UTC — Mass Protests and Clashes Rock France Amid Cost-of-Living Crisis · Sources: timesofisrael.com

🇮🇳 India releases Cockroach Party founder after protest crackdown · 13:03 UTC — Founder of India's 'Cockroach' Party Released After Election Protest Crackdown · Source: AFP

🇸🇦🇾🇪 Houthis say Saudi airstrikes killed three children in Yemen · 10:03 UTC — Houthis Claim Saudi Airstrikes Killed Three Children in Yemen · Sources: timesofisrael.com

Big movers

Countries moving beyond their normal range — last 3 days vs their 28-day baseline

No country is moving beyond its normal variability.

Headline events

Noteworthy events from the last 24 hours — may not be reflected in the ratings yet

🇾🇪 Yemen — Houthi attacks on Saudi Arabia reportedly based on intelligence provided by Iran [International Relations] · jpost.com · single source

Commodities

Watchlist prices vs their 28-day baseline — same ruler as the country movers

⛏️ Platinum price ▼ 1642.0 -6.5% · -2.5σ

Concentrated producers: South Africa (ZAF) 71% (major)

🌾 Soybeans price (exports · ZS=F daily settlement) ▼ 1259.75 -2.6% · -2.1σ

Concentrated producers: Brazil (BRA) 58% (major), United States (USA) 28% (noteworthy)

Carpe tomorrow

Andrew

Andrew

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Errata

Pro users may have received a live alert yesterday, “Trump waives new Russia sanctions and tariffs, citing national interest”, which was issued in error. We apologize for any inconvenience.