Archive

Decis SITREP, Oct 15 2026

Decis spot report — Ukraine resumes strikes on Russian refineries after failed ceasefire

Preliminary assessment and context following the alert.

⚡ DECIS ALERT: Ukraine resumes strikes on Russian refineries after failed ceasefire

Ukraine Resumes Strikes on Russian Refineries Following Failed 'Energy Ceasefire' and Starlink Restrictions

⚡ DECIS ALERT: Primary aluminum price down 6.8% vs its 28-day baseline (-2.2 sigma)

Tracked metric: the price of Primary aluminum (smelting) — ALI=F daily settlement. The figures are prices, not volumes. Concentrated producers: China (CHN) 59% (major).

⚠ DECIS ALERT: El Salvador plans to release up to half of 90,000 detainees

Bukele Plans to Release Up to 50% of 90,000 Detainees Under State of Emergency

⚡ DECIS ALERT: Two container ships sink near Strait of Hormuz

Two Container Ships Sink Near Strait of Hormuz Amid Escalating Iranian Attacks